com.insightguru.giraffe.server.utils.PresentationUtil$PresentationTitle@548c0592
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(1) Revenues expected to be well ahead of consensus estimates
Trefis estimates AMZN's Q2 2021 revenues to be $127 Bil, well ahead of the consensus estimate of $115 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2021Q2(E)
Trefis Estimates for Amazon Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): 42.4%
The chart to the right highlights trends in Amazon's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q2 2021.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to comfortably beat consensus estimates
AMZN's Q2 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $13.5 per Trefis analysis, comfortably beating the consensus estimate of $12.22 by 10%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q2(E)
Trefis Estimates for Amazon EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): 28.6%
The chart to the right highlights trends in AMZN's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q2 2021.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate 15% higher than current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $4241 for AMZN's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $3703.
AMZN Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for Amazon stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in AMZN stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in AMZN's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating Amazon's Total Revenues:
Amazon's Revenues have seen a substantial increase of 65.8% from around $233 Bil in FY2018 to $386 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $488 Bil in FY2021
Total Revenue
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Amazon's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
#2. Deriving Amazon's Net Income:
Amazon's Net Income has increased from around $10 Bil in FY2018 to $21 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $32 Bil in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and improved margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Amazon's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Net Income [AxB]
Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining Amazon's EPS:
Amazon's EPS has increased from $20.68 in FY2018 to $41.83 in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $63.46 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in net income and a higher expected share count due to equity issuances.
EPS [A÷B]
Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating Amazon's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $4241 For Amazon's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 66.8x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 EPS of $63.46
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]