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(1) Revenues expected to be well below consensus estimates
Trefis estimates ANF's FQ2 2021 revenues to be $656 Mil, well below the consensus estimate of $1.12 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2021Q2(E)
Trefis Estimates for Abercrombie & Fitch Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): -6%
The chart to the right highlights trends in Abercrombie & Fitch's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ2 2021.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to comfortably beat consensus estimates
ANF's FQ2 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $7.32 per Trefis analysis, comfortably beating the consensus estimate of $1.2 by 510%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q2(E)
Trefis Estimates for Abercrombie & Fitch EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): 8,032%
The chart to the right highlights trends in ANF's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ2 2021.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate largely around current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $42 for ANF's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $42.
ANF Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for Abercrombie & Fitch stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in ANF stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in ANF's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating Abercrombie & Fitch's Total Revenues:
Abercrombie & Fitch's Revenues have seen a decrease of -13.0% from around $3.6 Bil in FY2018 to $3.1 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $3.6 Bil in FY2021
Total Revenue
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Abercrombie & Fitch's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
#2. Deriving Abercrombie & Fitch's Net Income:
Abercrombie & Fitch's Net Income has decreased from around $75 Mil in FY2018 to $-114 Mil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $122 Mil in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and improved margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Abercrombie & Fitch's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Net Income [AxB]
Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining Abercrombie & Fitch's EPS:
Abercrombie & Fitch's EPS has decreased from $1.08 in FY2018 to $-1.82 in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $1.96 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
EPS [A÷B]
Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating Abercrombie & Fitch's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $42 For Abercrombie & Fitch's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 21.5x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 EPS of $1.96
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]