Here are some sample widgets you could interact with from this dashboard:
(1) Revenues expected to be slightly below consensus estimates
Trefis estimates CAT's Q2 2021 revenues to be $12.1 Bil, slightly below the consensus estimate of $12.6 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2021Q2(E)
Trefis Estimates for Caterpillar Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): 21.0%
The chart to the right highlights trends in Caterpillar's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q2 2021.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to marginally miss consensus estimates
CAT's Q2 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $2.32 per Trefis analysis, marginally missing the consensus estimate of $2.38 by 2.5%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q2(E)
Trefis Estimates for Caterpillar EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): 176.2%
The chart to the right highlights trends in CAT's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q2 2021.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate 4.3% higher than current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $219 for CAT's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $210.
CAT Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for Caterpillar stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in CAT stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in CAT's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating Caterpillar's Total Revenues:
Caterpillar's Revenues have seen a significant decrease of -23.7% from around $55 Bil in FY2018 to $42 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $49 Bil in FY2021
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Caterpillar's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
Comparing Caterpillar's Total Revenues with that of its Peers
Caterpillar - Total Revenue
#2. Deriving Caterpillar's Adjusted Net Income:
Caterpillar's Adjusted Net Income has decreased from around $6.7 Bil in FY2018 to $3.6 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $5.3 Bil in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and improved margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Caterpillar's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Adjusted Net Income [AxB]
Adjusted Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining Caterpillar's Adjusted EPS:
Caterpillar's Adjusted EPS has decreased from $11.21 in FY2018 to $6.56 in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $9.72 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in adjusted net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
Adjusted EPS [A÷B]
Adjusted Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating Caterpillar's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $219 For Caterpillar's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 22.5x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 Adjusted EPS of $9.72
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
Adjusted EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]
Comparing Caterpillar's Historical P/E Multiple with that of its Peers
Caterpillar P/E Multiple