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Trefis has a Price Estimate of $870 for Chipotle's Stock
Trefis Price Estimate for Chipotle
What Does Chipotle Offer?
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., features a menu of burritos, burrito bowls (a burrito without the tortilla), tacos, and salads. The idea was to show that food served fast didn't have to be a typical “fast-food” experience. Using high-quality real ingredients, classic cooking techniques, and distinctive interior design, Chipotle brought features from the realm of fine dining to the world of quick-service restaurants.
Who Pays?
Chipotle's main customers are individuals.
What Are The Alternatives?
Major competitors are companies like Taco Bell, McDonald's, Domino's, KFC, and other fast food chains.
#2. Deriving Chipotle's Net Income:
Chipotle's Net Income has increased from around $176.3 million in FY2017 to $350.2 million in FY2019 and we expect it to increase to $518.9 million in FY2020
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and improved margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Chipotle's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Net Income [AxB]
Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining Chipotle's EPS:
Chipotle's EPS has increased from $6.17 in FY2017 to $12.38 in FY2019 and we expect it to increase to $18.3 in FY2020
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in net income and a higher expected share count due to equity issuances.
EPS [A÷B]
Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#2. Determining Chipotle's Revenue per share (RPS):
Chipotle's Revenue per share has increased from $156.73 in FY2017 to $197.43 in FY2019 and we expect it to increase to $215.62 in FY2020
The expected change in RPS can be attributed to an increase in Revenues and a higher expected share count due to equity issuances.
RPS [A÷B]
Revenues [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating Chipotle's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $870 For Chipotle's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 47.5x P/E Multiple on expected FY2020 EPS of $18.3
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]
Exchange Rate [C]
#3. Estimating Chipotle's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $870 For Chipotle's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 4.0x P/S Multiple on expected FY2020 RPS of $215.62
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
RPS [A]
P/S Multiple [B]
Exchange Rate [C]