Here are some sample widgets you could interact with from this dashboard:
We added a comparison between South Korea and GermanyIf the United States were to track the path of South Korea, it would mean about 61000 cases in the country using a total population of 330 million.In comparison, if the United States tracks Germany, this could mean over 90000 cases in the country due to the ongoing rapid rise in Germany.South Korea’s testing and methods have been effective, at least so far, much like China’s - we hope the United States will learn and follow that path closely.
GermanyGermany has almost 150 cases per million, but unlike South Korea, the daily new cases continue to climb faster than before. A total of 12,327 cases were reported as of March 18th, with nearly 3000 cases being added in a day. We believe that the number of cases in Germany will likely plateau around 275 per million - which works out to well over 90000 cases in the U.S. for the same trajectory.
Related: Market Crashes Compared: -28% Coronavirus Crash Vs. 4 Historic Market Crashes
Germany Cases Normalized, per million
U.S. Cases Normalized, per million (Germany Trajectory):
U.S. Total Cases (Germany Trajectory)
U.S. Total Cases Plateau (Germany Trajectory)
In this analysis, we compare the number of U.S. cases of novel Coronavirus with China and Italy - the two worst impacted countries - and take a look at where infections in the U.S. could be headed and what this could mean for the stock markets.Based on on data from containment success in China, it is possible that U.S. cases of Coronavirus could continue to spread for another two to three weeks before containment, which could possibly happen around mid-April, plateauing at levels of around 15k. The cases per million in the U.S grew from 0.5 per million on March 4 to 3.9 per million on March 11 and to 14.3 per million on March 16. This trajectory looks like it's closely tracking China's path in the early days and not that of Italy and other countries.For perspective China saw cases grow from 0.4 per million for the week ended Jan 22, to 5.4 per million for Jan 29 and 19.5 per million on Feb 5th.If we assume that the U.S. follows a similar trajectory as China did, going forward, it is possible that cumulative cases could begin to flatten off by the middle of April at levels of around 13.5k
Daily New Cases & Cumulative Coronavirus Cases In The U.S.
New Cases - Feb 15 to Mar 15
Cumulative Cases - Feb 15 to Mar 16
Total Cases Per Million In U.S. Vs. China & Italy
As of March 16, Italy had a total of 462 cases per million people, compared to 56 for China and just over 14 for the U.S.
U.S. Cases Normalized, Per Million
China Cases Normalized, Per Million
Italy Cases Normalized, Per Million
Growth In Total Number Of Cases:
Between March 11 and 16, U.S. cases saw the largest increase, rising by 262% compared to 125% for Italy and just 0.1% for China
U.S. Coronavirus Cases Growth
China Coronavirus Cases Growth
Italy Coronavirus Cases Growth
If Growth In U.S. Cases Tracks China, Containment Could Occur Around Mid-May, With About 14k Cases The cases per million trajectory in the U.S grew from 0.5 per million as of March 4, going to 3.9 per million as of March 11 and 14.3 per million as of March 16 , looks more like it's closely tracking China's path in the early days than that of Italy and other countries.For perspective China saw cases grow from 0.4 per million for the week ended Jan 22, 5.4 for Jan 29 and 19.5 on Feb 5th.If we assume that the U.S. follows a similar trajectory as China did, going forward, posting 110%, 27%, 5% and 2% growth in cases over the next four weeks (shown in charts below), its possible that cumulative cases could begin to flatten off by the middle of April at levels of around 13,500 cases, considering a U.S. population of 330 million.
U.S. Total Cases
McDonalds, Exxon and CVS: Which top U.S companies will recover best post Coronavirus?
Reference Data: Worldometers, Coronavirus Updates