com.insightguru.giraffe.server.utils.PresentationUtil$PresentationTitle@1d523167
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(1) Revenues expected to be slightly below consensus estimates
Trefis estimates CSX's Q3 2021 revenues to be $2.95 Bil, slightly below the consensus estimate of $3.06 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2021Q3(E)
Trefis Estimates for CSX Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): 11.4%
The chart to the right highlights trends in CSX's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q3 2021.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to miss consensus estimates
CSX's Q3 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $0.36 per Trefis analysis, missing the consensus estimate of $0.38 by 5.3%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q3(E)
Trefis Estimates for CSX EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): -62.5%
The chart to the right highlights trends in CSX's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q3 2021.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate 5.5% higher than current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $36 for CSX's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $34.
CSX Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for CSX stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in CSX stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in CSX's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating CSX's Total Revenues:
CSX's Revenues have seen a decrease of -13.6% from around $12 Bil in FY2018 to $11 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $12 Bil in FY2021
Total Revenue
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On CSX's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
#2. Deriving CSX's Net Income:
CSX's Net Income has decreased from around $3.3 Bil in FY2018 to $2.8 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $3.4 Bil in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and improved margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On CSX's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Net Income [AxB]
Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining CSX's EPS:
CSX's EPS has decreased from $1.28 in FY2018 to $1.2 in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $1.5 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
EPS [A÷B]
Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating CSX's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $36 For CSX's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 24.0x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 EPS of $1.5
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]