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(1) Revenues expected to be well ahead of consensus estimates
Trefis estimates EA's FQ4 2022 revenues to be $1.35 Bil, well ahead of the consensus estimate of $1.28 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2022Q1(E)
Trefis Estimates for Electronic Arts Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): -2.7%
The chart to the right highlights trends in Electronic Arts's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ4 2022.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to comfortably beat consensus estimates
EA's FQ4 2022 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $0.75 per Trefis analysis, comfortably beating the consensus estimate of $0.62 by 21%
Estimated EPS- 2022Q1(E)
Trefis Estimates for Electronic Arts EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): -48.6%
The chart to the right highlights trends in EA's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ4 2022.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate 18% higher than current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $170 for EA's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $144.
EA Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for Electronic Arts stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in EA stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in EA's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating Electronic Arts's Total Revenues:
Electronic Arts's Revenues have seen a increase of 13.7% from around $5.0 Bil in FY2019 to $5.6 Bil in FY2021 and we expect it to increase to $7.4 Bil in FY2022
Total Revenue
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Electronic Arts's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
#2. Deriving Electronic Arts's Adjusted Net Income:
Electronic Arts's Adjusted Net Income has increased from around $1.3 Bil in FY2019 to $1.7 Bil in FY2021 and we expect it to increase to $1.9 Bil in FY2022
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and weaker margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Electronic Arts's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Adjusted Net Income [AxB]
Adjusted Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining Electronic Arts's Adjusted EPS:
Electronic Arts's Adjusted EPS has increased from $4.37 in FY2019 to $5.75 in FY2021 and we expect it to increase to $6.81 in FY2022
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in adjusted net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
Adjusted EPS [A÷B]
Adjusted Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating Electronic Arts's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $170 For Electronic Arts's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 24.9x P/E Multiple on expected FY2022 Adjusted EPS of $6.81
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
Adjusted EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]