com.insightguru.giraffe.server.utils.PresentationUtil$PresentationTitle@430cc0b4
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(1) Revenues expected to be well below consensus estimates
Trefis estimates EBAY's FQ1 2021 revenues to be $1.91 Bil, well below the consensus estimate of $2.97 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2021Q1(E)
Trefis Estimates for eBay Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): -19.4%
The chart to the right highlights trends in eBay's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ1 2021.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to miss consensus estimates
EBAY's FQ1 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $0.49 per Trefis analysis, missing the consensus estimate of $1.07 by 54%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q1(E)
Trefis Estimates for eBay EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): -89.2%
The chart to the right highlights trends in EBAY's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ1 2021.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate 14% higher than current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $69 for EBAY's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $61.
EBAY Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for eBay stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in EBAY stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in EBAY's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating eBay's Total Revenues:
eBay's Revenues have seen a significant increase of 18.7% from around $8.7 Bil in FY2018 to $10 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $12 Bil in FY2021
Total Revenue
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On eBay's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
#2. Deriving eBay's Net Income:
eBay's Net Income has increased from around $2.1 Bil in FY2018 to $2.5 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to fall to $2.4 Bil in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and weaker margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On eBay's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Net Income [AxB]
Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining eBay's EPS:
eBay's EPS has increased from $2.15 in FY2018 to $3.54 in FY2020 and we expect it to fall to $3.36 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to a reduction in net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
EPS [A÷B]
Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating eBay's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $69 For eBay's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 20.6x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 EPS of $3.36
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]
Comparing eBay's Historical P/E Multiple with that of its Peers
eBay P/E Multiple
Walmart P/E Multiple