Here are some sample widgets you could interact with from this dashboard:
(1) Revenues expected to be in line with consensus estimates
Trefis estimates FDX's FQ1 2022 revenues to be $22.0 Bil, in line with the consensus estimate of $21.9 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2022Q1(E)
Trefis Estimates for FedEx Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): 13.9%
The chart to the right highlights trends in FedEx's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ1 2022.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to marginally beat consensus estimates
FDX's FQ1 2022 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $5.11 per Trefis analysis, marginally beating the consensus estimate of $5.0 by 2.2%
Estimated EPS- 2022Q1(E)
Trefis Estimates for FedEx EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): 7.6%
The chart to the right highlights trends in FDX's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ1 2022.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate 36% higher than current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $348 for FDX's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $255.
FDX Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for FedEx stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in FDX stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in FDX's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating FedEx's Total Revenues:
FedEx's Revenues have seen a significant increase of 20.5% from around $70 Bil in FY2019 to $84 Bil in FY2021 and we expect it to increase to $91 Bil in FY2022
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On FedEx's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
Comparing FedEx's Total Revenues with that of its Peers
FedEx - Total Revenue
United Parcel Service - Total Revenue
#2. Deriving FedEx's Adjusted Net Income:
FedEx's Adjusted Net Income has increased from around $4.1 Bil in FY2019 to $4.9 Bil in FY2021 and we expect it to increase to $5.7 Bil in FY2022
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and improved margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On FedEx's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Adjusted Net Income [AxB]
Adjusted Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining FedEx's Adjusted EPS:
FedEx's Adjusted EPS has increased from $15.57 in FY2019 to $18.23 in FY2021 and we expect it to increase to $21.33 in FY2022
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in adjusted net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
Adjusted EPS [A÷B]
Adjusted Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating FedEx's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $348 For FedEx's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 16.3x P/E Multiple on expected FY2022 Adjusted EPS of $21.33
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
Adjusted EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]
Comparing FedEx's Historical P/E Multiple with that of its Peers
FedEx P/E Multiple
United Parcel Service P/E Multiple