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(1) Revenues expected to be in line with consensus estimates
Trefis estimates JNJ's Q3 2021 revenues to be $23.8 Bil, in line with the consensus estimate of $23.7 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2021Q3(E)
Trefis Estimates for Johnson & Johnson Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): 12.7%
The chart to the right highlights trends in Johnson & Johnson's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q3 2021.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to marginally beat consensus estimates
JNJ's Q3 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $2.42 per Trefis analysis, marginally beating the consensus estimate of $2.36 by 2.5%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q3(E)
Trefis Estimates for Johnson & Johnson EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): 79.3%
The chart to the right highlights trends in JNJ's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q3 2021.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate 26% higher than current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $200 for JNJ's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $159.
JNJ Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for Johnson & Johnson stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in JNJ stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in JNJ's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating Johnson & Johnson's Total Revenues:
Johnson & Johnson's Revenues have seen a marginal increase of 1.2% from around $82 Bil in FY2018 to $83 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $95 Bil in FY2021
Total Revenue
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Johnson & Johnson's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
#2. Deriving Johnson & Johnson's Adjusted Net Income:
Johnson & Johnson's Adjusted Net Income has decreased from around $22 Bil in FY2018 to $21 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $26 Bil in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and improved margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Johnson & Johnson's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Adjusted Net Income [AxB]
Adjusted Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining Johnson & Johnson's Adjusted EPS:
Johnson & Johnson's Adjusted EPS has decreased from $8.32 in FY2018 to $8.03 in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $9.74 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in adjusted net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
Adjusted EPS [A÷B]
Adjusted Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating Johnson & Johnson's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $200 For Johnson & Johnson's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 20.6x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 Adjusted EPS of $9.74
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
Adjusted EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]