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PeriodKBH ReturnS&P 500 ReturnEvent ProbabilityChance Of Rise
In Next Equivalent Period
5-day-5.7%1.6%12%52%10-day-5.6%0.5%18%55%21-day-14%2%8%55%
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'Event' refers to KBH return >= to observed return within specified period; 'Equivalent Period' refers to same period as that specified for past return
Periods specified in trading days; 5-day = 5 trading days
Calculation of 'Event Probability' and 'Chance of Rise' using last 10 year data
[1] -5.7% or higher return during 5-day period in 294 times out of 2517; Stock rose in the next 5 days in 153 of these 294 instances
[2] -5.6% or higher return during 10-day period in 447 times out of 2517; Stock rose in the next 10 days in 246 of these 447 instances
[3] -14% or higher return during 21-day period in 206 times out of 2517; Stock rose in the next 21 days in 114 of these 206 instances
Predict average return on KB Home (KBH) Stock Return: AI Predicts KBH Average and Excess Return After a Fall or Rise