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Trefis has a Price Estimate of $238 for McDonald's's Stock
Trefis Price Estimate for McDonald's
What Does McDonald's Offer?
The Company operates and franchises McDonald's restaurants, which serve a locally-relevant menu of quality food and beverages in more than 100 countries. McDonald's franchised restaurants are owned and operated under one of the following structures - conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate.
McDonald's main customers are individuals.
What Are The Alternatives?
Major competitors are companies like Burger King, KFC, Subway, and other fast food chains.
#1. Estimating McDonald's's Total Revenues:
McDonald's's Revenues have seen a moderate decrease of -7.6% from around $22.8 billion in FY2017 to $21.1 billion in FY2019 and we expect it to fall to $20.2 billion in FY2021
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On McDonald's's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
Total Revenue [A+B+C]
International Operated Markets [B]
International Developmental Licensed Markets & Corporate [C]
#2. Deriving McDonald's's Net Income:
McDonald's's Net Income has increased from around $5.2 billion in FY2017 to $6.0 billion in FY2019 and we expect it to fall to $5.8 billion in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by lower revenues and weaker margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On McDonald's's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Net Income [AxB]
Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining McDonald's's EPS:
McDonald's's EPS has increased from $6.43 in FY2017 to $7.95 in FY2019 and we expect it to increase to $7.97 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to a reduction in net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating McDonald's's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $238 For McDonald's's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 29.9x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 EPS of $7.97
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
P/E Multiple [B]