com.insightguru.giraffe.server.utils.PresentationUtil$PresentationTitle@5372c4c
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(1) Revenues expected to be well ahead of consensus estimates
Trefis estimates NYT's FQ1 2021 revenues to be $548 Mil, well ahead of the consensus estimate of $463 Mil
Estimated Revenues - 2021Q2(E)
Trefis Estimates for New York Times Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): 23.6%
The chart to the right highlights trends in New York Times's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ1 2021.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to comfortably beat consensus estimates
NYT's FQ1 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $0.49 per Trefis analysis, comfortably beating the consensus estimate of $0.14 by 250%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q2(E)
Trefis Estimates for New York Times EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): 144%
The chart to the right highlights trends in NYT's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ1 2021.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate 15% higher than current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $50 for NYT's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $43.
NYT Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for New York Times stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in NYT stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in NYT's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating New York Times's Total Revenues:
New York Times's Revenues have seen a marginal increase of 1.9% from around $1.8 Bil in FY2018 to $1.8 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $2.0 Bil in FY2021
Total Revenue
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On New York Times's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
Comparing New York Times's Total Revenues with that of its Peers
New York Times - Total Revenue
News - Total Revenue
#2. Deriving New York Times's Adjusted Net Income:
New York Times's Adjusted Net Income has increased from around $135 Mil in FY2018 to $163 Mil in FY2020 and we expect it to fall to $159 Mil in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and weaker margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On New York Times's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Adjusted Net Income [AxB]
Adjusted Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining New York Times's Adjusted EPS:
New York Times's Adjusted EPS has increased from $0.81 in FY2018 to $0.97 in FY2020 and we expect it to fall to $0.95 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to a reduction in adjusted net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
Adjusted EPS [A÷B]
Adjusted Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating New York Times's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $50 For New York Times's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 52.8x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 Adjusted EPS of $0.95
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
Adjusted EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]