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Trefis has a Price Estimate of $66 for Oracle's Stock
Trefis Price Estimate for Oracle
What Does Oracle Offer?
Oracle provides products and services that address enterprise information technology (IT) environments. The products and services include applications and infrastructure offerings that are delivered worldwide through a variety of flexible and interoperable IT deployment models. These models include on-premise deployments, cloud-based deployments, and hybrid deployments (an approach that combines both on-premise and cloud-based deployment)
The customers include businesses of many sizes, government agencies, educational institutions and resellers that the company markets and sells to directly through their worldwide sales force and indirectly through the Oracle Partner Network.
Oracle's customers ranges across various sectors of companies, Individuals and organisations
What Are The Alternatives?
Major competitors include SAP, Apple, Microsoft, IBM, and other companies.
#1. Estimating Oracle's Total Revenues:
Oracle's Revenues have seen a marginal decrease of -0.8% from around $39.4 billion in FY2018 to $39.1 billion in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $41.4 billion in FY2022
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Oracle's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
Total Revenue [A+B+C+D]
Cloud services and license support [A]
Cloud license and on-premise license [B]
Consulting & Other Services [C]
#2. Deriving Oracle's Net Income:
Oracle's Net Income has increased from around $3.6 billion in FY2018 to $10.1 billion in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $13.1 billion in FY2022
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and improved margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Oracle's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Net Income [AxB]
Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining Oracle's EPS:
Oracle's EPS has increased from $0.87 in FY2018 to $3.08 in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $4.54 in FY2022
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating Oracle's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $66 For Oracle's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 14.5x P/E Multiple on expected FY2022 EPS of $4.54
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
P/E Multiple [B]