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PeriodRF ReturnS&P 500 ReturnEvent ProbabilityChance Of Rise
In Next Equivalent Period
5-day-6.7%-0.3%5%53%10-day-11%0.2%4%47%21-day-13%2%6%71%
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'Event' refers to RF return >= to observed return within specified period; 'Equivalent Period' refers to same period as that specified for past return
Periods specified in trading days; 5-day = 5 trading days
Calculation of 'Event Probability' and 'Chance of Rise' using last 10 year data
[1] -6.7% or higher return during 5-day period in 131 times out of 2517; Stock rose in the next 5 days in 70 of these 131 instances
[2] -11% or higher return during 10-day period in 104 times out of 2516; Stock rose in the next 10 days in 49 of these 104 instances
[3] -13% or higher return during 21-day period in 154 times out of 2515; Stock rose in the next 21 days in 109 of these 154 instances
Predict average return on Regions Financial (RF) Stock Return: AI Predicts RF Average and Excess Return After a Fall or Rise