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Trefis estimates Shopify valuation at $1300 per share
Trefis Price Estimate for Shopify
What Does Shopify Offer?
Shopify is technology company that helps businesses go online, providing the tools needed to setup thier own e-commerce websites and handling related services such as payment processing, financing and logistics.
Shopify caters primarily to small and medium-sized businesses
What Are The Alternatives?
Businesses that want to enter the e-commerce space can set up thier own websites using tools such as Wix or choose to sell on marketplaces such as EBay and Amazon
#1. Estimating Shopify's Revenues:
Shopify's Revenues have seen a dramatic increase of 173.1% from around $1.1 Bil in FY2018 to $2.9 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $4.8 Bil in FY2021
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Shopify's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
Total Revenue [A+B]
Subscription solutions [A]
Merchant solutions [B]
#2. Deriving Shopify's Adjusted Net Income:
Shopify's Adjusted Net Income has increased from around $44 Mil in FY2018 to $491 Mil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $535 Mil in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and weaker margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Shopify's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Adjusted Net Income [AxB]
Adjusted Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining Shopify's Adjusted EPS:
Adjusted EPS has increased from $0.42 in FY2018 to $3.99 in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $4.25 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in adjusted net income and a higher expected share count due to equity issuances.
Adjusted EPS [A÷B]
Adjusted Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating Shopify's Share Price:
Our price estimate of $1300 for Shopify's stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 306.2x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 Adjusted EPS of $4.25
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
Adjusted EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]
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