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PeriodTDC ReturnS&P 500 ReturnEvent ProbabilityChance Of Rise
In Next Equivalent Period
5-day14%2.8%1%30%10-day7.3%0.5%13%53%21-day10%1.8%13%42%
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'Event' refers to TDC return >= to observed return within specified period; 'Equivalent Period' refers to same period as that specified for past return
Periods specified in trading days; 5-day = 5 trading days
Calculation of 'Event Probability' and 'Chance of Rise' using last 10 year data
[1] 14% or higher return during 5-day period in 20 times out of 2518; Stock rose in the next 5 days in 6 of these 20 instances
[2] 7.3% or higher return during 10-day period in 333 times out of 2518; Stock rose in the next 10 days in 176 of these 333 instances
[3] 10% or higher return during 21-day period in 336 times out of 2516; Stock rose in the next 21 days in 141 of these 336 instances
Predict average return on Teradata (TDC) Stock Return: AI Predicts TDC Average and Excess Return After a Fall or Rise