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Revenues are expected to be slightly ahead of consensus
Trefis estimates Tesla's 2019 revenues to stand at $24.6 billion, marginally ahead of the consensus estimate of $24.5 billion
Tesla Revenue
(1) Automotive $21.3 Bil (86%)
(2) Service Revenue $1.7 Bil (7%)
(3) Energy $1.6 Bil (7%)
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TOTAL $24.6 Bil
Consensus $24.5 Bil
Surprise +$0.1 Bil
EPS likely to narrowly beat consensus estimates
Tesla's 2019 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be -$0.25 per Trefis analysis, slightly better than the consensus estimate of -$0.27
Tesla EPS
Total Revenues $24.6 Bil
- Total Expenses $24.65 Bil
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Net Income -$45 Mil
÷ Shares Outstanding 174 Mil
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EPS ($0.25)
Consensus ($0.27)
Surprise +$0.02
* Numbers do not add up due to rounding
Trefis Stock price estimate for Tesla is significantly behind the market
As we expect Tesla to remain loss making for FY'19, we are valuing the company using a revenue multiple for the purpose of this analysis.
Trefis' forecast for Tesla's 2019 revenue per share is slightly higher than the market estimates, although P/S multiple is significantly lower. This translates into a price estimate of $348 versus the market price of about $510.
Tesla's Share Price [= A x B]
Tesla Revenue Per Share [A]
Tesla P/S Multiple [B]
For more details view our interactive analysis: Tesla Valuation: Expensive Or Cheap?
Details about our forecast for Tesla's (1) Revenues (2) Earnings and (3) Valuation follow:
For more details on Tesla's revenues, view our interactive analysis: Tesla Revenues: How Does Tesla Make Money?
(3) A trailing P/S multiple of 2.5x looks appropriate for Tesla's stock
We use our full cash flow model for Tesla to arrive at a P/S multiple of 2.5x for a price estimate of $348
Tesla P/S Multiple
Toyota P/S Multiple
Ford P/S Multiple
View our complete set of analyses on Tesla