Here are some sample widgets you could interact with from this dashboard:
(1) Revenues expected to be in line with consensus estimates
Trefis estimates UPS's FQ1 2021 revenues to be $23.3 Bil, in line with the consensus estimate of $23.2 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2021Q1(E)
Trefis Estimates for UPS Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): 29.2%
The chart to the right highlights trends in UPS's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ1 2021.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to marginally beat consensus estimates
UPS's FQ1 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $2.85 per Trefis analysis, marginally beating the consensus estimate of $2.81 by 1.4%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q1(E)
Trefis Estimates for UPS EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): 154.5%
The chart to the right highlights trends in UPS's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ1 2021.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate largely around current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $212 for UPS's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $213.
UPS Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for UPS stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in UPS stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in UPS's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating UPS's Total Revenues:
UPS's Revenues have seen a significant increase of 17.8% from around $72 Bil in FY2018 to $85 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $94 Bil in FY2021
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On UPS's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
Comparing UPS's Total Revenues with that of its Peers
UPS - Total Revenue
FedEx - Total Revenue
#2. Deriving UPS's Adjusted Net Income:
UPS's Adjusted Net Income has increased from around $6.3 Bil in FY2018 to $7.2 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $9.5 Bil in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and improved margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On UPS's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Adjusted Net Income [AxB]
Adjusted Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining UPS's Adjusted EPS:
UPS's Adjusted EPS has increased from $7.24 in FY2018 to $8.23 in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $11.0 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in adjusted net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
Adjusted EPS [A÷B]
Adjusted Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating UPS's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $212 For UPS's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 19.3x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 Adjusted EPS of $11.0
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
Adjusted EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]
Comparing UPS's Historical P/E Multiple with that of its Peers
UPS P/E Multiple
FedEx P/E Multiple