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PeriodVWAGY ReturnS&P 500 ReturnEvent ProbabilityChance Of Rise
In Next Equivalent Period
5-day3.3%3.5%24%53%10-day-4.5%0.7%22%50%21-day-3.4%3.5%33%60%
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'Event' refers to VWAGY return >= to observed return within specified period; 'Equivalent Period' refers to same period as that specified for past return
Periods specified in trading days; 5-day = 5 trading days
Calculation of 'Event Probability' and 'Chance of Rise' using last 10 year data
[1] 3.3% or higher return during 5-day period in 599 times out of 2517; Stock rose in the next 5 days in 315 of these 599 instances
[2] -4.5% or higher return during 10-day period in 563 times out of 2517; Stock rose in the next 10 days in 284 of these 563 instances
[3] -3.4% or higher return during 21-day period in 832 times out of 2516; Stock rose in the next 21 days in 498 of these 832 instances
Predict average return on Volkswagen AG (VWAGY) Stock Return: AI Predicts VWAGY Average and Excess Return After a Fall or Rise