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Trefis Has A Price Estimate Of $59 For Bristol-Myers Squibb's Stock
Trefis Price Estimate For Bristol Myers Squibb
Bristol-Myers Squibb is a biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, and sells pharmaceutical products globally.Its customers include chain stores (Walgreens, CVS, Rite-Aid, Wal-Mart), clinics, long term care facilities, HMO, federal facilities, non-federal institutions, and mail order pharmacies.It competes with other pharmaceutical companies, including Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer, Roche, and Merck.
#1. Estimating Bristol-Myers Squibb's Total Revenues:
Total Revenues have increased from $19.4 billion in 2016 to $22.6 billion in 2018, and could grow 7% to $24.0 Billion in 2019
Our Interactive Dashboard Analysis, How Does Bristol-Myers Squibb Make Money?, Provides An In Depth View Of The Company's Revenues.
Total Revenues [A + B + C + D + E]
Oncology Drugs (A)
Cardiovascular Drugs (B)
Immunology Drugs (C)
Mature Products & Other (D)
Virology Drugs (E)
#2. Deriving Bristol-Myers Squibb's Adjusted Net Income:
Adjusted Net Income grew from $4.8 billion in 2016 to $6.5 Billion in 2018, and we expect it to be around $6.9 billion in 2019
This growth will likely be led by stable margins and higher revenues
Adjusted Net Income = A x B
Adjusted Net Income Margin (A)
Total Revenues (B)
The jump In Adjusted Net Income Margin since 2018 can be attributed to the impact of the U.S. Tax Act.
#3. Determining Bristol-Myers Squibb's Adjusted EPS:
Adjusted EPS has grown from $2.83 in 2016 to $3.98 in 2018, and we estimate it to be $4.30 in 2019
EPS growth from 2018 can be attributed to higher Adjusted Net Income and lower Shares Outstanding.
Adjusted EPS = A ÷ B
Adjusted Net Income (A)
Shares Outstanding (B)
#4. Estimating Bristol-Myers Squibb's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $59 For Bristol-Myers Squibb's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 13.7x P/E Multiple on expected 2019 Adjusted EPS of $4.30
Trefis Price Estimate For Bristol-Myers Squibb = A x B
Adjusted EPS (A)
P/E Multiple (B)
Disagree With Our Forecasts? Create Your Own
1. How to save your forecasts for Bristol-Myers Squibb:
Click on the blue "Try Trefis" button in the header to create an account, then navigate back to this dashboard. Now, any changes you make to these inputs will be auto-saved as a scenario (see left panel of dashboard).
2. How to monitor your scenario vs. actual results
Once you've saved your forecast, you can "rename" your scenario by clicking on the gear icon next to the scenario (on the left panel). For more info, see this quick, 30-sec video (look at the 9 sec mark)
With your forecast saved and named, you can compare your forecasts to hundreds of other Trefis users who came up with their own forecasts. Lastly, you can share with friends and colleagues to show them how you fared and compare your forecasts to theirs.