Here are some sample widgets you could interact with from this dashboard:
Colgate is slated to release its Q4 and full-year 2019 results on January 31, 2020. For FY 2019, Trefis estimates that the company will report:
Revenues of $15.65 billion (vs. consensus estimate of $15.6 billion) slightly higher than $15.6 billion in 2018, due to an equal rise in both segments.EPS of $2.91 (vs. consensus estimate of $2.83), higher than the $2.76 in 2018, due to revenue growing at a higher rate than expenses.
We believe that stronger-than-expected earnings for FY 2019 will very likely result in Colgare's stock rising in price once earnings are announced. In fact, our forecast indicates that Colgate is valued at $72.9 a share, which is roughly 4% higher than its current price of $70.1
(1) Revenues are expected to marginally beat consensus estimates
Trefis estimates Colgate's 2019 revenues to be $15.65 billion, marginally higher than the consensus estimate of $15.6 billion.
Trefis estimate of Total Revenue
(1) Oral, Personal & Home Care $13.24 Bil (85%)
(2) Hill's Pet Nutrition $2.41 Bil (15%)
TOTAL $15.65 Bil
Consensus $15.6 Bil
Surprise $0.05 Bil
(2) EPS likely to beat consensus estimate
Colgate's 2019 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $2.91 per Trefis analysis, ~3% higher than the consensus estimate of $2.83 per share
EPS - 2019E
Total Revenues $15.65 Bil
- Total Expenses $13.16 Bil
Net Income $2.49 Bil
÷ Shares Outstanding 0.86 Bil
(3) Stock price estimate ~4% higher than the market price
Trefis' forecast for Colgate's 2019 earnings as well as P/E multiple, are slightly higher than market expectations, working out to a fair value of $72.90 for Colgate's stock as opposed to the current market price of around $70.
Colgate's Stock Price (AxB)
EPS - 2019E (A)
Trailing P/E Multiple (B)
Details about our forecast for Colgate's (1) Revenues, (2) EPS, and (3) P/E Multiple follow:
(1) Revenue is expected to rise marginally by 0.3% from $15.6 billion in 2018 to $15.65 billion in 2019
An equal rise in Oral, Personal & Home Care revenue and Hill's Pet Nutrition, to drive a $50 million rise in Colgate's total revenue for 2019.
Total Revenue [A+B]
Oral, Personal & Home Care [A]
Hill's Pet Nutrition [B]
What about Revenues in 2020?
See Colgate-Palmolive Revenue - How Does Colgate Make Money?
We provide an interactive, in-depth view of the company's revenues along with our forecasts and a comparison of trends with peers P&G and Unilever.
Key for 2020: We expect Colgate's revenue growth rate to grow 10x in 2020, driving revenue to $16.1 billion in 2020.
(3) A trailing P/E multiple of 25.1x looks appropriate for Colgate's stock, almost in line with the current implied P/E multiple of 24.8x.
We use our full cash flow model for Colgate-Palmolive to arrive at a P/E multiple of 25.1x for a price estimate of $72.9
Note: P/E Multiples are based on Share Price at the end of the year, and reported (or expected) Adjusted Earnings for the full year
Colgate's PE Multiple
P&G's PE Multiple
Unilever's PE Multiple
Our complete set of analyses on Colgate-Palmolive
DISAGREE WITH OUR FORECASTS? CREATE YOUR OWN
1. How to save your forecasts for Colgate-Palmolive:
Click on the blue "Try Trefis" button in the header to create an account, then navigate back to this dashboard. Now, any changes you make to these inputs will be auto-saved as a scenario (see left panel of dashboard).
2. How to monitor your scenario vs. actual results
Once you've saved your forecast, you can "rename" your scenario by clicking on the gear icon next to the scenario (on the left panel). For more info, see this quick, 30-sec video (look at the 9 sec mark)
With your forecast saved and named, you can compare your forecasts to hundreds of other Trefis users who came up with their own forecasts. Lastly, you can share with friends and colleagues to show them how you fared and compare your forecasts to theirs.