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The Trefis Price Estimate For Activision Blizzard's Stock Is Around $62 Per Share
Trefis Price Estimate
Activision Blizzard is engaged primarily in developing and distributing games for video game consoles, personal computers, mobile phones, and the Internet. Its customers include h
ardcore as well as casual gamers.It competes with other gaming companies, including Electronic Arts, Zynga, and Take Two Interactive.
#1. Estimating Activision Blizzard's Total Revenues:
Total Revenues have increased from $6.6 billion in 2016 to $7.5 billion in 2018, and it could decline slightly to $7.0 billion by 2020.
Our Interactive Dashboard Analysis, ATVI Revenues: How Does Activision Blizzard Make Money?, Provides An In Depth View Of The Company's Revenues.
Total Revenues = A + B + C + D
King Digital (C)
Comparing trends in Activision Blizzard's Total Revenues with that of its peers
Activision Blizzard Revenue
Electronic Arts Revenue
#2. Deriving Activision Blizzard's Net Income:
Net Income grew from $1.7 billion in 2016 to $2.1 billion in 2018, and we expect it to be around $2.0 billion in 2020.
Our Interactive Dashboard Analysis, How Does Activision Blizzard Spend Its Money?, Provides More Details On The Company's Expenses.
Adjusted Net Income = A x B
Adjusted Net Income Margin (A)
Total Revenues (B)
#3. Determining Activision Blizzard's EPS:
EPS has grown from $2.19 in 2016 to $2.72 in 2018, and we estimate it to decline slightly in the near term.
EPS decline can be attributed to lower Net Income and Revenues, partly offset by lower Shares Outstanding.
Adjusted Earnings Per Share = A ÷ B
Adjusted Net Income (A)
No. of Shares (B)
#4. Estimating Activision Blizzard's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $62 For Activision Blizzard's stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies an 23x P/E Multiple on expected 2020 EPS of $2.65.
Trefis Price Estimate = A x B
Price To Earnings Multiple (A)
Adjusted Earnings Per Share (B)
Comparing Activision Blizzard's P/E Multiple Over The Last Four Years With That of Its Peers
P/E Multiples are based on Share Price at the end of September of each year, and reported (or expected) Earnings for the full year.
Activision Blizzard P/E
Our Complete Set of Analyses On Activision Blizzard
Disagree With Our Forecasts? Create Your Own
1. How to save your forecasts for Activision Blizzard:
Click on the blue "Try Trefis" button in the header to create an account, then navigate back to this dashboard. Now, any changes you make to these inputs will be auto-saved as a scenario (see left panel of dashboard).
2. How to monitor your scenario vs. actual results
Once you've saved your forecast, you can "rename" your scenario by clicking on the gear icon next to the scenario (on the left panel). For more info, see this quick, 30-sec video (look at the 9 sec mark)
With your forecast saved and named, you can compare your forecasts to hundreds of other Trefis users who came up with their own forecasts. Lastly, you can share with friends and colleagues to show them how you fared and compare your forecasts to theirs.