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COVID-19 cases in the U.S. have been expanding rapidly, as total number of cases grew 325% over the last week, although this is down from 860% growth for the previous week.Going by the weekly growth figures, the U.S. growth rate appears to be tracking Italy's growth during early March.For perspective Italy's growth rate stood at 938% for week ended 3/1 and fell to 305% for the week ended 3/8. The country announced a 3-week national quarantine on 3/9, following which its growth in new cases has been steadily declining.If weekly growth in infections in the United States were to track the trajectory of Italy's infection growth (from week of 3/8 onward), it's possible that the U.S. could see over 2.5 million total cases by early May. For our previous projections and update prior to 3/23/20, view our dashboard Coronavirus Trends Across Countries, And What It Means For The U.S.
Growth in new U.S. cases roughly in line with Italy's growth trend over week ended 3/1 and 3/8, when it declined from 938% to 305%. For perspective, the growth in U.S. cases this week declined from 864% to 325%.
Italy % Growth In Total Cases (Weekly)
U.S. % Growth Weekly Cases (Forecast 4/5 to 5/3 Based On Italy Trends)
Cumulative Coronavirus Cases In The U.S. - Daily Data
Cumulative U.S Cases (Daily)
Change In Total U.S Cases (Daily)